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MCK
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MCK stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

McKesson is one of three leading pharmaceutical wholesalers in the US engaged in sourcing and distributing branded, generic, and specialty pharmaceutical products to pharmacies (retail chains, independent, and mail order), hospitals networks, and healthcare providers... Show more

MCK
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A.I.Advisor
Sep 28, 2026

McKesson Corporation (MCK) Stock Analysis: Specialty and Oncology Momentum Balanced Against Cyber Risk

Key Takeaways

  • McKesson shares traded near $866.64 as of late September 2026, reflecting a modest pullback of roughly 3% to 4% over the trailing 30 days.
  • The longer-term trend remains positive, with a roughly 13% to 14% gain over the trailing 90 days despite choppy recent trading.
  • McKesson raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance, supported by strength in its Oncology & Multispecialty and prescription technology segments.
  • Analyst sentiment remains broadly constructive, with a consensus Buy rating and an average price target around $979 to $988.
  • Concerns around a third-party cybersecurity incident and drug pricing pressure are key near-term overhangs on valuation.

Current Market Snapshot

McKesson Corporation (MCK) closed near $866.64 on September 25, 2026, a modest decline of about 0.3% for the session. The stock has traded in a relatively narrow range over the past month, slipping a low single-digit percentage after a stronger run earlier in the quarter. The broader context is one of a large-cap healthcare distributor consolidating gains following a multi-year advance, with investors weighing raised guidance against competitive and operational risks.

Market capitalization sits near $104 billion, underscoring McKesson's role as one of the three dominant U.S. pharmaceutical wholesalers, alongside Cencora (COR) and Cardinal Health (CAH). While the stock has cooled in the short term, its total return over the past year remains in the mid-to-high teens, reflecting a defensive business model with recurring demand tied to ongoing medical needs.

McKesson Corporation (MCK) Business Overview and Competitive Position

McKesson is a leading healthcare services and pharmaceutical distribution company. Its core business involves sourcing and distributing pharmaceuticals, medical-surgical supplies, and other healthcare products to pharmacies, hospitals, health systems, and other providers across the United States and internationally. Distribution of pharmaceutical products accounts for the overwhelming majority of net sales.

Beyond distribution, McKesson has built a substantial specialty and technology footprint. Its Oncology & Multispecialty segment—which includes the US Oncology Network, the PRISM platform, and the Precision Medicine Group—has become a central driver of revenue mix and margin potential. The company's prescription technology solutions (RxTS) business supports access, affordability, and adherence programs, including GLP-1-related services. This diversified model, combined with significant scale and logistics infrastructure, gives McKesson structural advantages that are difficult for smaller competitors to replicate.

Recent Developments Driving MCK

Several verified developments have shaped investor sentiment in recent weeks. McKesson raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance, citing momentum across its customer base and healthy growth in health-system and specialty volumes. In its most recent reported quarter (ending June 30, 2026), the company posted revenue of approximately $105.4 billion, up from about $97.8 billion a year earlier, while net profit was $614 million versus $784 million in the prior-year period.

Growth has been led by the oncology business. On a reported basis, the Oncology & Multispecialty segment delivered roughly 33% top-line growth and about 41% adjusted operating profit growth, or approximately 15% growth excluding the prior year's Core Ventures acquisition. The RxTS business reported about 9% top-line growth and 13% adjusted operating profit growth, with the GLP-1 Medicare bid program—launched in early July—described as off to a solid start.

Analyst activity has been mixed but broadly favorable. RBC Capital maintained a Sector Perform (Hold) rating with an $845 price target, while Evercore ISI reiterated a Buy rating with a $1,000 target and Bank of America reiterated Buy with a $1,050 target. Argus raised its target to $970 from $850. Separately, a third-party cybersecurity incident has drawn attention to operational and vendor-related risk, and insider selling over the trailing three months has added a note of caution.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, investors are likely to focus on McKesson's continued execution across its specialty and oncology platforms, which management has identified as central to future revenue and margin growth. Upcoming earnings releases will be closely watched, with consensus estimates pointing to EPS of approximately $10.75 and revenue near $110 billion for the next quarter. Full-year consensus figures suggest earnings of roughly $44.65 per share on revenue near $429 billion.

Key factors to monitor include the financial impact and containment of the cybersecurity incident, the pace of GLP-1 program adoption, and the renewal of major distribution contracts, which management notes occur on a rolling basis each year. Broader risks include drug pricing pressure, thin margins in distribution, regulatory changes, and competitive dynamics within healthcare services. While consensus analyst sentiment remains constructive, the stock's valuation relative to its own history and to peers will continue to shape how investors interpret the growth story.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MCK with price predictions
Oct 02, 2026

MCK sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On October 01, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MCK moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 35 of the 46 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCK as a result. In 61 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

MCK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for MCK moved above the 200-day moving average on September 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCK advanced for three days, in 258 of 386 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCK turned negative on September 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.

The 10-day moving average for MCK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.

The Aroon Indicator for MCK entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MCK's P/B Ratio (-59.961) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.488). P/E Ratio (22.969) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (2.016). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.265) is also within normal values, averaging (4.260).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MCK paid dividends on October 01, 2026

McKesson Corp MCK Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.94 per share was paid with a record date of October 01, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of September 01, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McKesson Corp (NYSE:MCK).

Industry description

Healthcare distribution market can be segmented into pharmaceutical product distribution services, medical device distribution services, and biopharmaceutical product distribution services. In addition to serving as intermediaries, many medical distributors also purchase and take legal ownership of pharmaceuticals and manage inventory and credit risk. According to a Deloitte report, pharmaceutical distributors’ core services of efficient product distribution, inventory management, financial risk management, and information-sharing generate $33 billion-$53 billion in value annually to the U.S. health care ecosystem. Some prominent players in the overall medical distribution industry include McKesson Corporation, AmerisourceBergen Corporation, Cardinal Health, Inc. and Patterson Companies, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Medical Distributors Industry is 21.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 44.8K to 99.84B. MCK holds the highest valuation in this group at 99.84B. The lowest valued company is COCM at 44.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Medical Distributors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19%. AHG experienced the highest price growth at 54%, while ACH experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Medical Distributors Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of pharmaceuticals and provides healthcare software and health information technology services

Industry MedicalDistributors

Industry
Medical Distributors
Address
6555 State Highway 161
Phone
+1 972 446-4800
Employees
43000
Web
https://www.mckesson.com